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Prediction for 2015 - Biggest Year for Home Sales Since 2007
Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation) has predicted that 2015 will see the highest level of home sales in the U.S. since 2007. This prediction is based on five key consensus predictions for 2014, how they fared, and how they will affect housing and the economy next year. In addition to home sales, the four other areas examined were mortgage originations, home values, rental market, and mortgage rates.
In 2014, home value gains grew at a rate of 4.5 percent, and in 2015, they are expected to increase by 3.0 percent. Rental vacancies fell to their lowest level since 2000 in the last year, and 30-year fixed mortgage rates are expected to average 4.4 percent in 2015 after hovering just below 4 percent in December.
Low oil prices have been a boon for businesses and consumers alike. Economic growth has picked up over the final nine months of 2014. It is expected the housing market will continue to strengthen with home sales and rental markets continuing to display low vacancy rates and the highest level of new apartment completions in 25 years.
What Is Your Home Worth?
Homeowners on average underestimate the value of their homes 1.6% compared with appraisers' valuations. At the peak of the market in 2005 and 2006, appraisals often came in below owners' estimates, in part because prices were spiraling upward at double-digit rates in overheated markets. In the recession years following the bust, the gap between what owners believed their homes to be worth and appraisers' valuations gradually narrowed. More recently, the trend has shifted to slight underestimates by owners.
Why are owners a little behind on pricing? This is attributed it in part to the fact that owners tend to lag behind market trends. Appraisers are looking at the market all the time, and owners, especially those who are seeking to refinance, are not as likely to stay on top of month-to-month changes.
*Source: CAR 12/22/14
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DECEMBER 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:
*Source CRMLS 12/31/14
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------In 2014, home value gains grew at a rate of 4.5 percent, and in 2015, they are expected to increase by 3.0 percent. Rental vacancies fell to their lowest level since 2000 in the last year, and 30-year fixed mortgage rates are expected to average 4.4 percent in 2015 after hovering just below 4 percent in December.
Low oil prices have been a boon for businesses and consumers alike. Economic growth has picked up over the final nine months of 2014. It is expected the housing market will continue to strengthen with home sales and rental markets continuing to display low vacancy rates and the highest level of new apartment completions in 25 years.
What Is Your Home Worth?
Homeowners on average underestimate the value of their homes 1.6% compared with appraisers' valuations. At the peak of the market in 2005 and 2006, appraisals often came in below owners' estimates, in part because prices were spiraling upward at double-digit rates in overheated markets. In the recession years following the bust, the gap between what owners believed their homes to be worth and appraisers' valuations gradually narrowed. More recently, the trend has shifted to slight underestimates by owners.
Why are owners a little behind on pricing? This is attributed it in part to the fact that owners tend to lag behind market trends. Appraisers are looking at the market all the time, and owners, especially those who are seeking to refinance, are not as likely to stay on top of month-to-month changes.
*Source: CAR 12/22/14
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DECEMBER 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:
159 active listings
40 in escrow
31 closed sales from 12/01/14 - 12/31/14
40 in escrow
31 closed sales from 12/01/14 - 12/31/14
31 Sales for December 2014:
4 sales under $1 million
14 sales $1-2 million
10 sales $2-4 million
1 sale for $4,050,000
4 sales under $1 million
14 sales $1-2 million
10 sales $2-4 million
1 sale for $4,050,000
1 sale for $5,700,000
1 sale for $9,500,000
*Source CRMLS 12/31/14
MEDIAN SALES PRICE FOR COASTAL ZIP CODES FOR DECEMBER 2014 COMPARED TO DECEMBER 2013
Balboa
Island - 92662 - 0 - n/a – n/a
Capistrano
Beach - 92624 - 6 - $787,000 : 14.8%Corona del Mar - 92625 - 9 - $1,600,000 : -27.3%
Costa Mesa - 92626 - 34 - $648,000 : 14.7%
Costa Mesa - 92627 - 20 - $775,000 : 15.4%
Dana Point - 92629 - 16- $847,000 : 4.8%
Laguna Beach - 92651 - 33 - $1,565,000 : 14.1%
Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 51 - $820,000 : 16.3%
Newport Beach - 92660 - 33 - $1,585,000 : -7.9%
Newport Beach - 92661 - 4 - $1,680,000 : -43.1%
Newport Beach - 92663 - 9 - $1,827,000 : 38.9%
Newport Coast - 92657 - 9 - $2,160,000 : -32.0%
San Clemente - 92672 - 28 - $777,000 : -12.2%
San Clemente - 92673 - 9 - $853,000 : 6.6%
*Source DQNews/LATimes 12/26/14
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