DECEMBER 2015 COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Wishing You and Your Family a Wonderful Holiday Season!



Pending Home Sales Bounce Back in October

Pending home sales bounced back from the previous month at the statewide level in October. Pending sales were also significantly higher on an annual basis, portending higher closed escrows in the next couple of months. Home sales exceeded the 400,000 level in October for the seventh consecutive month and posted higher on a year-to-year basis for the ninth straight month.

Mortgage Information:

30 year fixed mortgage rate is currently 3.95%, down slightly versus one week ago.
15 year fixed rate is 3.18%, unchanged versus one week ago.  
ARM’s represent 14.8% of all mortgages, down from 19.5% versus last year, with the 10 year ARM being the hot lender product of choice.
Nationwide, 10.1% of mortgage homes are underwater, in OC there are only 3%.
A December Rate hike seems very likely.

*CAR 12/06/15

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NOVEMBER 2015 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

198 Active Listings

 52 Pending Sales
 22 Closed Sales from 11/01/15 - 11/30/15

22 Sales for November 2015:

 

198 Active Listings

 52 Pending Sales
 22 Closed Sales from 11/01/15 - 11/30/15

Sales Statistics:

 2 - Less than $1,000,000
 7 - $1,000,001 - $1,500,000
 2 - $1,500,001 - $2,000,000
 2 - $2,000,001 - $2,500,000

 2 - $2,500,001 - $3,000,000

 3 - $3,000,001 - $3,500,000

 0 - $3,500,001 - $4,000,000

 4 – $4,000,000 +

 

22 homes sold in November makes this is the lowest total number of sales for a single month in almost two years.  The longer time it can take for new loan may have had some impact on these numbers as there are still have 52 Pending Sales, about the same as the previous month.  Inventory dropped below 200 for the first time since February, but normal for this time of the year. 

 *Source CRMLS 10/31/15

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NOVEMBER 2015 COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

 

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Strong Sales Lift U.S. Home Prices 5.1% 
 

Solid sales pushed up U.S. home prices at a steady pace in August from a year earlier, a sign that the housing market is improving despite a slowdown in the overall economy.

Home Prices: Prices have risen at a 5% pace for most of this year, which economists see as more sustainable than last year's double-digit gains. Three years of solid hiring and historically low mortgage rates have enabled more Americans to buy homes.
 

Sales: Sales of existing homes jumped 4.7% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.55 million.  The number of existing homes for sales has fallen 3.1% in the past 12 months. In September, the number of available homes was equal to just 4.8 months' of sales, below the six months that is typical of a balanced market.

Mortgage Rates: Low mortgage rates are helping would-be buyers. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 3.79% last week, its the 13th straight week below 4%.
 

Interest Rate News: Buyers and the industry will have to wait a little longer for the expected rate hike. This is to support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability. So rates will stay at the current 0 to 1/4%. The Federal objective is try to maximum employment at a 2% inflation. They did hint at a possible December rate hike.

LATimes/CAR 10/28/15

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OCTOBER  SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

189 Active Listings 
41  In Escrow
23 Closed Sales from 9/01/15 - 9/30/15

Statistics for October Sales:
  1 Sale $488,000
12 Sales $1-2 million
  4 Sales $2-3 million
  1 Sale  $3,200,000
  2 Sales $5-6 million
  2 Sales $10-11 million

  1 Sale for 17,200,000

*Source CRMLS 11/01/15

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OCTOBER 2015 COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

 

Just Listed - 1035 Noria Street - Ocean View Home

3 Beds, 3.5 Baths, $1,349,000

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Price Gains Lower, Buyers Gaining Leverage

Rising prices and low inventory have finally cooled the housing market, just a bit. Pending home sales are down nationally yet the market remains well above last year’s levels. Demand continues to outpace supply.  Even with existing housing supply barely budging all summer, sales activity is still higher than earlier this year and a year ago. The median price of an existing home is expected to rise 5.8% nationally by the end of this year. And in the West, the bright spot of real estate pricing, the average rose.
 

We're in a bit of an adjustment period right now towards a more normal market. After two years of bidding wars and big price run-ups, some sellers have yet to come to terms with a slower market. After a decade of boom, bust and boom again, many aren't sure how to react to a normal market. Sellers are not used to this slowdown as houses have been selling quickly, eventually all houses will sell. You just have to be patient.

*LATimes, CoreLogic 9/12/15
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SEPTEMBER SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

206 Active Listings 
13 In Escrow
 34 Closed Sales from 9/01/15 - 9/30/15

34 Sales for September 2015:
  3 Sales under $1 million
15 Sales $1-2 million
  7 Sales $2-3 million
  2 Sales $3-4 million
  5 Sales $4-5 million

  1 Sale for $15,800,000

*Interesting: $4-5 million range had more sales than $3-4 million range.

*Source CRMLS 9/30/15

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Fabulous Mystic Hills Listing - by Amanda and Pamela

1527 Tahiti Ave, Laguna Beach

$2,599,000

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AUGUST 2015 COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

 

Newly  Listed: Ocean View Home in Mystic Hills area of Laguna Beach
Click to view 1527 Tahiti Ave, Laguna Beach

California Home Sales At Highest Level in 2 years, First Double-digit Increase since May 2012

Sales of existing, single-family homes in June reached the highest level in two years and experienced the first double-digit increase since May 2012. Home sales in the state have risen year over year for five straight months.

The June sales increased 3.3% from May and 11% compared with home sales in June 2014. The year-to-year change is significantly higher than the previous 6-month average increase of 4.3% from December 2014-May 2015.

Other key points for the OC coastal housing report include:

·        Active Listings Decline: While sales continued to improve from last year the number of active listings dipped 0.8% from the previous year. The June Unsold Inventory Index declined to 3.3 months in June, down from 3.5 months in May and 3.8 months in June 2014. The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A six- to seven-month supply is considered typical in a normal market.

·        Median Number of Days on Market: Days to sell a single-family home rose slightly in June to 33.3 days compared with 28.5 days in May but was down from 33.8 days in June 2014.

·        Sales-to-list price Ratio: Properties are generally selling below the list price, except in the San Francisco Bay Area, where a lack of homes for sale is pushing sales prices higher than original asking prices to an average of 106.3% up from 104% a year ago.

·        Trends:  
 Home ownership at its lowest point in 19 years (64.8%)
 Highest price increase Newport Coast, 92657, +137.9%
 2nd Highest, Newport Beach, 92662, +61.1%

        3rd Highest, VillaPark,92861, 57.9%                                                                                                 

       

·        Mortgage Interest Rates Increased in June. Current market rates are:  

       30 year fixed Mortgage rate is currently 4.09%, up slightly versus one week ago,
15 year fixed rate is 3.25%, up slightly versus one week ago,
ARM’s represent 15.4% of all mortgages, down from 19.6% versus last year, this is the loan of choice

*CAR 7/15/15 - FANNIE MAE 7/31/15
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JULY 2015 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

222 Active Listings
69 In Escrow
42 Closed Sales from 7/01/15 - 7/31/15

42 Sales for July 2015:
  4 sales under $1 million
16 sales $1-2 million

*June had 27 closed sales vs. July with 42 - CRMLS 8/1/2015


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APRIL 2015 COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Listed and In Escrow by Pamela and Amanda
Panoramic Ocean Views, Magnificent Laguna Beach Home
www.31293Ceanothus.com

Southern California Home Sales Dip Year Over Year Again; Median Prices Increase 

In February 2015 the number of homes sold in Southern California rose slightly from January but hit the lowest level for a February in seven years. The median price paid for a home inched up from January and rose year over year for the 35th consecutive month. Home prices found a floor in 2012 and since then have rapidly appreciated.

Sales: Southern California home sales have increased 0.7% between the months of January and February since 1988. The amount of sales have fallen on a year-over-year basis in 15 out of the last 17 months.

Mortgage Rates: Fell this week with lenders offering a 30-year fixed loan at an average of 3.69%. 15-year fixed mortgage fell to 2.9% from 3.06% last week. 5-year loans dropped to 2.92% Low rates could spur more home sales during the Spring buying season. It’s too early to tell if cheaper borrowing costs and recent robust job growth will ignite the housing market that slowed in the last year.

Who Are The Buyers? Buyers attracted recently are institutional investors, international buyers or some other flavor of cash buyer not constrained by income as much as traditional buyers. Eventually traditional buyers will need to play a bigger role in the housing market for the recovery to maintain its momentum.

Sellers: The low inventory makes this Spring an incredible to sell and move on with your dream. Call  Pamela and Amanda for selling your home!

Buyers: This is a great time to buy, interest rates are still at an all-time low so now your dream is more affordable than ever. For homes available in the location where you'd like to buy, contact Pamela and Amanda!

*Sources CoreLogic, CAR 2/25/15

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MARCH 2015 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

 203 Active listings
 70 In Escrow
 41 Closed Sales 3/1/2015 – 3/31/2015

Sales for March 2015:
4 sales under $1 million
20 sales $1-2 million
9 sales $2-3 million

6 sales $3-4 million
1 sale for $4,050,000
1 sale for $10,500,000

 *Source CRMLS 3/31/15
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COASTAL ZIP CODES BY MEDIAN SALES PRICE FOR FEBRUARY 2015 COMPARED TO FEBRUARY 2014:

Balboa Island - 92662 - 1 - $2,595,000: +29.8%
Capistrano Beach - 92624 - 4 - $1,925,000: +200.8%
Corona del Mar - 92625 - 14 - $1,719,000: -4.1%
Costa Mesa - 92626 - 22- $618,000: +25.5%
Costa Mesa - 92627 - 15 - $785,000: +58.6%
Dana Point - 92629 - 21- $692,000: +0.8%
Laguna Beach - 92651 - 24 - $1,854,000: -0.6%
Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 48 - $850,000: +9.0%
Newport Beach - 92660 - 18 - $1,650,000: +6.7%
Newport Beach – 92661 – 5 - $2,800,000: +12%
Newport Beach – 92663 – 15 - $1,615,000: +15.4%
Newport Coast – 92657 – 12 - $2,845,000 +19.8%
San Clemente – 92672 – 23 - $720,000: -4.6%
San Clemente – 92673 – 22 - $785,000: +2.6%

*Source DQNews/LATimes 3/25/15

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NOVEMBER 2014 COASTAL SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

                                                                           

Tick Tock...Daylight Savings Time Ends Nov. 2
 Set Your Clocks Back Unless You Live in Arizona or Hawaii

CALIFORNIA HOME SALES TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY, WHILE HOME PRICES POST SLOWEST GAIN IN FOUR YEARS

With the U.S. economy expected to grow more robustly than it has in the past five years
and housing inventory continuing to improve, California housing sales and prices will see
a modest upward trend in 2015.

Housing Forecast: With more available homes on the market for sale, California’s housing
market will see fewer investors and a return to traditional home buyers as home sales rise
modestly and prices flatten out in 2015. Expected is an increase in existing home sales of
5.8%. Sales in 2014 will be down 8.2% from single-family homes sold in 2013.

Interest Rates: Minimal impact is expected with interest rates only inching up slightly and remaining low throughout 2015. This should help moderate the decline in housing affordability that occurred over the past two years.

Lending Guidelines: Stringent underwriting guidelines and double-digit home price increases over the past two years have significantly impacted housing affordability in California, forcing some buyers to delay their home purchase. However, next year, home price gains will slow, allowing would-be buyers who have been saving for a down payment to be in a better financial position to make a home purchase.”

Down Payment Amount: Buyers should know that it's a misperception that a 20% down payment is always required to buy a home. There are numerous programs available that allow consumers to buy a home with less down payment, including FHA loans, which lets buyers put down as little as 3.5 percent.

*10/07/14 CAR


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OCTOBER 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH

218 active listings
50 In escrow
Closed Sales 41 from 10/01/14 - 10/31/14

41 Sales for October 2014:
6 sales under $1 million
19 sales $1-2 million
8 sales $2-3 million
1 sale $3,070,000
3 sales $4-5 million
1 sale $5,820,000
1 sale $6,386,250
1 sale $7,600,000
1 sale $10,000,000

*CRMLS 10/31/14

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COASTAL ZIP CODES BY MEDIAN SALE PRICE FOR SEPTEMBER 2014 COMPARED TO SEPTEMBER 2013

Balboa Island - 92662 - 1 - $2,650,000 – 32.5%

Capistrano Beach - 92624 - 5 - $1,699,000 – 149.9%

Corona del Mar - 92625 - 18 - $1,773,000 – minus 22.8%

Costa Mesa - 92626 - 26- $646,000 – 3.4%

Costa Mesa - 92627 - 26 - $738,000 – 18%

Dana Point - 92629 - 34 - $850,000 – minus 6.6%

Laguna Beach - 92651 - 42 - $2,015,000 – 20.8%

Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 68 - $825,000 – 9.3%

Newport Beach - 92660 - 30 - $1,460,000 – minus 10.8%

Newport Beach – 92661 – 3 - $1,925,000 – minus 33.1%

Newport Beach – 92663 – 15 - $2,165,000 – minus 1.6%

Newport Coast – 92657 – 12 - $4,450,000 – 52.8%

San Clemente – 92672 – 38 - $753,000 – minus 5.3%

San Clemente – 92673 – 36 - $820,000 – minus 10.9%

*Median price for Capistrano Beach over $1M for first time and half of the cities posting minus median prices.
**Source DQNews/LATimes 10/26/14

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Just Listed - Great Ocean View Condo
In Laguna Beach

                                                  
Click to view: 21711 Wesley Dr D


SEPTEMBER 2014 COASTAL SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS



Sunrise Wednesday morning as the big surf begins to roll in from Main Beach to Seal Rock ...
© Mitch Ridder Photography - All Rights Reserved 2014

CALIFORNIA HOME SALES AND PRICES IMPROVE IN JULY

California home sales posted higher for the second straight month. Home prices rose over sales of June 2014 and also were higher than a year ago. Although, the pace of appreciation continued to slow.

Pending Home Sales: Properties in escrow rose 3.3% last month after slipping 1.25% in June. The index, which tracks contracts signed for previously owned homes, hasn’t been higher since August 2013. The increase from June, which beat expectations of a 0.5% rise, provides another indication that the housing market is strengthening after starting to cool last summer.

Investors: With home prices on the rise, more investors are flipping properties instead of renting them.  In 2014, 28% of investors flipped the property, up from 20% last year. 58% of investors rented their properties in 2014, down from 73% in 2013.  

Mortgage Rates Stay Low: The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.10% for the week ended Aug. 28, unchanged from a week ago, but down from 4.51% last year, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Equity Lines: Equity lines of credit are booming. Dollar volume of new loans are highest in areas with the most expensive housing; along the West Coast and Northeast. In CA nearly $6 billion in equity lines were originated in the last 12 month. This rapid increase is the direct result of the gains in home prices along with low interest rates of 3-4%. Key questions: Is this a boom or a bubble? A good thing or an omen? Stay tuned.

*CAR 8/30/14/LATimes 8/31/14

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AUGUST 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH

260 active listings 55 in escrow
34 closed sales from 8/01/14 - 8/31/14

34 Sales for August 2014:
9 sales under $1 million
10 sales $1-2 million
7 sales $2-3 million

4 sales $3-4 million
1 sale $4,030,000
1 sale $6,700,000
1 sale $8,200,000
1 sale for $10,200,000

*CRMLS 8/31/14

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COASTAL ZIP CODES BY MEDIAN SALES PRICE FOR JULY 2013 COMPARED TO JULY 2014

Balboa Island - 92662 - 1 - $860,000 – minus 42.3%
Capo Beach - 92624 - 11 - $825,000 – minus 13.5%
Corona del Mar - 92625 - 14 - $1,605,000 – minus 30.5%

Costa Mesa - 92626 - 28- $687,000 – 14.5%
Costa Mesa - 92627 - 28 - $855,000 – 14.5%
Dana Point - 92629 - 26- $667,000 – minus 4.6%
Laguna Beach - 92651 - 39 - $1,955,000 – 8%
Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 56 - $835,000 – 2%
Newport Beach - 92660 - 52 - $1,600,000 – 3.9%
Newport Beach – 92661 – 7 - $1,800,000 – minus 26.5%
Newport Beach – 92663 – 21 - $2,275,000 – 70.1%
Newport Coast – 92657 – 21 - $2,700,000 – minus .6%
San Clemente – 92672 – 38 - $728,000 – 9.7%
San Clemente – 92673 – 35 - $860,000 – 5.5%

*Source DQNews/LATimes 8/10/14
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AUGUST 2014 COASTAL SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS



Southland Homes Sales Slow Down;

Price Gains Throttle Back

Sales Pace: Southern California homes sold at the slowest pace for a June in three years as investor purchases fell again and other would-be buyers continued to struggle with inventory and affordability constraints.

Home Prices: Finally increasing at a healthier pace than two years suggests that prices are stabilizing.

Interest Rates: Lower interest rates and stabilizing home prices combined to boost home sales in June. June sales increased 1.5% but were down 4.8% compared to June 2013. 

Foreclosures: Were at a low not seen since late 2005, when the market was almost at its peak, the decline started in July 2006.  Less foreclosures is the result of a stronger economy and higher home values.

Short sales: Where the sale price fell short of what was owed on the property - made up an estimated 5.8% of the state's resale market last quarter. This is down from 13.7% a year earlier.

*DQNews 7/28/14

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JULY 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

248 active listings
56 in escrow
39 closed sales from 6/01/14 - 6/30/14

39 Sales for July 2014:  6 sales under $1 million
15 sales $1-2 million
8 sales $2-3 million
6 sales $3-4 million
2 sales $4-5 million

1 sale $5,650,000
1 sale $6,675,000

*Increases in all 3 categories up from June 2014
 *Source CRMLS 7/31/14
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COASTAL ZIP CODES BY MEDIAN SALES PRICE FOR JUNE 2013 COMPARED TO JUNE 2014:

Balboa Island - 92662 - 1 - $1,800,000 – minus 18.2%
Capo Beach - 92624 - 9 - $735,000 – minus 5.2%
Corona del Mar - 92625 - 15 - $1,804,000 – minus 7.5%
Costa Mesa - 92626 - 32- $6500,000 – 6.5%
Costa Mesa - 92627 - 25 - $740,000 – 15.5%
Dana Point - 92629 - 23- $8000,000 – 1%
Laguna Beach - 92651 - 43 - $1,555,000 – 1.8%
Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 61 - $776,000 – minus 6.6%
Newport Beach - 92660 - 46 - $1,433,000 – minus 14%
Newport Beach – 92661 – 5 - $1,250,000 – minus 30.6%
Newport Beach – 92663 – 16 - $1,793,000 – 16.4%
Newport Coast – 92657 – 7 - $4,248,000 – 47.9%
San Clemente – 92672 – 29 - $765,000 – minus 10.5%
San Clemente – 92673 – 36 - $793,000 – 8.6%

*Half of the zip codes reported as median price less than in July 2013.

*Source DQNews/LATimes 7/28/14

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MARCH 2014 SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Winter Sunset from Montage Resort
by Gregory Schaeffer

Southland Home Sales Drop in January; Price Picture Mixed

SoCal logged its lowest January home sales in three years as buyers continued to wrestle with a tight inventory of homes for sale, a fussy mortgage market and the highest prices in years. The median price paid for a home dipped from December – a normal seasonal decline – but remained 18% higher than January last year.

The Economy: Is growing, but Southland home sales have fallen on a year-over-year basis for four consecutive months now and remain well below average. Why? We’re still putting a lot of the blame on the low inventory. But mortgage availability, the rise in interest rates and higher home prices matter, too.

Pent Up Demand, Inventory: Two of the bigger questions hanging over the housing market right now is, “How much pent-up demand is left out there? And  will inventory skyrocket this year as more owners take advantage of the price run-ups? Unfortunately, we’ll probably have to wait until spring for the answers. When it comes to statistical trends, January and February are atypical months that haven’t proven to be predictive over the years.

Upper End of the Market: The number of homes sold in many middle and up-market areas continued to rise on a year-over-year basis last month, while more affordable markets generally saw less activity than a year earlier.

*Source DQNews 2/14/14

Trending:

Sales Volume is down to 2,105 versus 2,252 a year ago

Average Home Payment is $2,593.68

Inventory is up 5,283 up from 5,087 just one month ago

Mortgage Defaults 378, down 14.9% versus one month ago

Foreclosures 73, down 36.5% versus one month ago

Average Days on Market 2.22 months (64 days)


*Updated 3/17/14

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FEBRUALY 2014 SALES STATISTICS FOR LAGUNA BEACH:

193 active listings
30 in escrow
24 closed sales from 2/01/14 - 28/14

24 closed sale statistics:
5 sales under $1 million
6 sales $1-2 million
5 sales $2-3 million
3 sales $3-4 million
2 sales $4-5 million

1 sale $5,00o,000
1 sale $8,500,000

 *Source CRMLS updated 3/17/14
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COASTAL ZIP CODES BY MEDIAN SALES PRICE FOR JANUARY 2013 COMPARED TO JANUARY 2014:

Balboa Island - 92662 - 2 - $1,950,000 – 18.2%
Capo Beach - 92624 - 6 - $744,000 – 11.8%
Corona del Mar - 92625 - 7 - $2,563,000 – 57.7%
Costa Mesa - 92626 - 15- $680,000 – 25.5%
Costa Mesa - 92627 - 15 - $785,000 – 58.6%
Dana Point - 92629 - 14- $788,000 – 5%
Laguna Beach - 92651 - 20 - $1,400,000 – minus 3.9%
Laguna Niguel - 92677 - 33 - $790,000 – 14.4%
Newport Beach - 92660 - 20 - $1,705,000 – 24.1%
Newport Beach – 92661 – 2 - $2,003,000 – 33.9%

Newport Beach – 92663 – 11 - $1,385,000 – minus 12.6%

Newport Coast – 92657 – 9 - $3,880,000 – 89.3%

San Clemente – 92672 – 25 - $730,000 – 12.1%

San Clemente – 92673 – 26 - $793,000 – 8.6%

*Source DQNews/LATimes 2/28/14

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